Nate Silver 2024 Midterms 2024. 8, 2022, at 2:20 am. Nate silver’s 2024 election forecast.

 — when we update our ratings later this year with results from 2022, pollsters such as trafaglar and rasmussen will take a hit, which will give them less influence in.  — silver’s forecast has trump with 52.4 percent of winning the electoral college, around 5 percent higher than harris’s 47.3 percent.